Understanding Volatility Indexes and Market Sentiment
Volatility is one of the most important measures of market behavior. It reflects how much prices fluctuate over time, showing whether conditions are calm or tense. To track this, analysts often turn to volatility indexes , such as the VIX, which quantify how uncertain or confident the market feels at any given moment. These indices are not predictions of direction — they show the intensity of movement expected in the near term. Risk Warning: Volatility levels can rise or fall rapidly during global events, leading to unpredictable market reactions. Awareness of volatility helps understand risk, but cannot eliminate it. What Is a Volatility Index? A volatility index measures the market’s expectation of future price movement. The most well-known is the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) , which tracks expected volatility in the S&P 500 over the next 30 days. When the VIX is high, it indicates greater uncertainty and larger expected price swings. When it’s low, it signals calmer condi...